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Brazil Country Instability Index

Brazil's Country Instability Index is 50/100 · Normal, unchanged over a 24-hour comparison window, as of .

CII measures current stress. World Monitor's separate Country Resilience Index measures Brazil's longer-term structural capacity.

Official name: Federative Republic of Brazil. Wikidata identity record.

Current signal

Brazil instability monitor

Published pulse

Instability combines current information, unrest, conflict and security-mobility signals. It is separate from structural resilience; do not combine the scores.

Instability score50Normal
24-hour comparison-window movementUnchanged
Travel advisory inputExercise Increased Caution
OFAC designations in feed30 designated entities
Open Brazil on the live map →

Recent developments in Brazil

Brazil's Country Instability Index is 50/100 · Normal, unchanged over a 24-hour comparison window, as of . Reporting captured in the same window is listed below.

Country brief

Outlook

A Polymarket market related to Brazil, "Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?", priced Yes at 77% on Oct 19, 2026; it closes Oct 26, 2026. [E5]

A Polymarket market related to Brazil, "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?", priced Yes at 36% on Oct 19, 2026; it closes Nov 5, 2026. [E7]

Watch items

Whether the record fall in Amazon deforestation will persist after the key election. [3]

World Monitor data cited

Automated summary of 1 cited report and 2 World Monitor data points, generated .

Structural resilience snapshot

Rank#56
Overall score57.4
Dimension coverage81%
ConfidenceStandard

Brazil resilience analysis

Brazil ranks #56 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 57.4 out of 100. Recovery capacity is the weakest pillar at 62.1, with structural readiness next at 66.6. Live shock exposure is strongest at 81.8, while Social and governance is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 59.1. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -0.3 points. Dimension coverage is 81%, and the page labels confidence as standard.

Pillar profile

Six-domain profile

Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first

DimensionDomainScoreCoverageEvidence state
State continuityRecovery capacity29100%Stale
Governance and institutionsSocial and governance45100%Fresh
Fiscal spaceRecovery capacity50100%Fresh
Logistics and supply chainsInfrastructure5150%Fresh
Social cohesionSocial and governance5292%Stale
Trade policy resilienceEconomic capacity56100%Fresh
Information environmentSocial and governance6755%Stale
Liquid-reserve adequacyRecovery capacity67100%Fresh
Education capacitySocial and governance68100%Fresh
Border securitySocial and governance71100%Stale
Macro-fiscal positionEconomic capacity73100%Fresh
Health and public servicesHealth, food and water74100%Fresh
Financial-system exposureEconomic capacity76100%Fresh
Import concentrationRecovery capacity79100%Fresh
Core infrastructureInfrastructure7970%Fresh
Currency and external balanceEconomic capacity8685%Fresh
Cyber and digital capacityInfrastructure86100%Fresh
Energy system resilienceEnergy security8890%Fresh
External-debt coverageRecovery capacity88100%Fresh
Food and water securityHealth, food and water9282%Fresh
Fuel-stock bufferRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Reserve adequacyRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Sovereign fiscal bufferRecovery capacity—0%Not applicable

Comparison set

Nearest ranked peers: Mongolia (#55, 57.4), Singapore (#57, 57.4), Kazakhstan (#54, 57.5), South Korea (#58, 57.3). Comparisons in Latin America and the Caribbean: Dominica, Paraguay (#60, 56.7), Belize (#62, 56.6), Antigua and Barbuda, Chile (#51, 58.7). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.

Tracked crisis context

Brazil has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 14 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.

Reading limits

Scores come from the August 29, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Energy security, 88. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.

Questions about Brazil

What is Brazil's Country Instability Index?

Brazil's Country Instability Index is 50/100 (Normal), unchanged over a 24-hour comparison window, as of Oct 19, 2026, 4:50 AM UTC.

What is Brazil's resilience score?

Brazil scores 57.4 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #56 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.

Which resilience pillars are weakest for Brazil?

Recovery capacity is lowest at 62.1, followed by Structural readiness at 66.6. Their evidence coverage is 63% and 93%.

Is Brazil's resilience score rising or falling?

The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -0.3 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.

Related country profiles

Linked to Brazil by a shared crisis tracker, a monitored tension pair, proximity or region.

Need Brazil signals in your own workflow? Compare World Monitor Pro and API plans for Brazil risk data. Pro adds alert rules and AI digests; API plans serve country resilience and instability data over REST.

Live data

How to read this page

The 0-100 index records the August 29, 2026 snapshot. See the Country Resilience Index methodology for dimensions, sources and confidence rules. Published revisions that affect Brazil are in the corrections log.

This 2026-08-29 snapshot applies domain design weights inside pillar aggregation. Earlier published CRI numbers used coverage-only member aggregation and are not directly comparable.

Use this dated reference with the live map for active alerts, conflict, market and energy signals. Neither score on this page is a forecast; where World Monitor does forecast, the graded record is on the forecast accuracy scorecard.

Download: resilience.json. Source: World Monitor Country Resilience Index snapshot, August 29, 2026. Methodology: Country Resilience Index.

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